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In Reply to: Amazon sales of Blu ray versus HD DVD posted by Ole Lund Christensen on March 17, 2007 at 14:41:33:
Simultaneous release of the blu-ray and standard DVD for a blockbuster title. I understand the blu-ray outsold the full-screen DVD version. Pretty amazing.Here we have a video "format war" analogous to the SACD vs DVD-A "war". The real war, as we learned before, is with the dominant existing format, in this case standard DVD. The reason high-resolution may eventually win out is because the entire industry must address FCC-mandates to switch to HDTV broadcasting in 2009. Once that happens, and there is a big installed base of HDTV sets, I don't see standard DVD lasting much longer.
-------------"I have found that if you love life, life will love you back." -Arthur Rubinstein (1887-1982)
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> > > The real war, as we learned before, is with the dominant existing format, in this case standard DVD. The reason high-resolution may eventually win out is because the entire industry must address FCC-mandates to switch to HDTV broadcasting in 2009. Once that happens, and there is a big installed base of HDTV sets, I don't see standard DVD lasting much longer. < < <I suspect not. I agree, that the real war is HD Vs. SD, but I don't see the broadcasting switch having a big impact. Yes, some people will go out and buy new sets, but most will just buy a $30 converter, or (more likely) pay their cable company for one.
Most people like DVDs, and don't really want anything else. Many actually think DVD are High def. Then there's the prices. We'll have to see how fast they drop.
Personally, I don't really see either format replacing DVDs.
Jack
After being in many BB's and Circuit City's these days and seeing whose buying what, I'm seeing folks gravitate a lot of the times towards HD-DVD's for some reason. So I asked; one guy was telling me that he "liked that fact that it seemed like more of the HD-DVD's included DTS tracks". We all have our opinions as to why this may be happening, but we know for sure that it's not the pricing of the media that's the draw for sure. The masses (as I've hashed out before in Hi-rez as an early SACD adopter) will follow titles and prices. We all know Blu-ray's capabilties and in the end it's pricing and availabiltiy. I for one am very slow at buying disc's @ $29.99 and $34.99 reminicent of the early days of DVD. As for the DVD sales, it's obvious they're going to make an exit, look at the pricing $9.99 and lower for many good titles and HD TV set having been selling in record numbers. I'm sure it will take a while however, some are still watching VHS."Once you've experienced HD you'll never want to watch anything else!"
Will soon be starting. Starting April 1, Toshiba is dropping the list price of its players:
XA2-$799
A20-$599
A2-$399
They are also promising to have sub $300 ($200?)players from China by the end of the yaer. BDA is going to have to get on the ball with hardware. The 20 gig PS3 is almost nonexistant now, though there may be a few around. Best Buy announced it will stop carrying it (20gig), and none are going to Europe. Sony was/is losing $300 on each. The new Sony will list for $599, the new Sammy for $799.
Then there's the discs. At Amazon, I'm paying about $18 for normal, non-combo HD DVDs. The combos cost more. BR is more, especially from Fox. BR has been pushing discs with the Buy-one-get-one-free sales at Best Buy and Frys. They also had 50% off sales at Amazon-that's why their numbers have spiked lately, but they can't sustain that forever. They are going to have to lower their list prices (both formats), or just have permanent sales.
Then there's Warner's THDs-HD DVD/Blu-Ray combos coming in June.
Its going to be an interesting year for video.
Jack
I expected the prices to see $299 by fall of this year. My Best Buy (or any in here) doesn't offer the buy one get one here in Florida. So I'm checking online to find the best prices for now. Amazon seems to be the lowest in some cases, but not all then you have S&H. So either way thier not low enough yet to say the least. By the by after downloading the firmware update to my S-1, it's working like a new machine. This download is a must and they've notified me that more are on the way.
Generally, Amazon is the best bet. If you join Amazon Prime, you get free 2 day shipping for a year. Prime costs $79, and is good for most things they sell. If you use them alot, it pays for itself. The BOGO sales are over, but may return. Keep your eyes open for them.
Jack
maybe one company from some countries bought up huge supplies as a bundle promotion for their products.
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