"One has to prevail before mass market acceptance is possible and economies of scale can kick in to bring cost

Economies of scale may never really kick in for BD well. The replicators are very expensive, and the cost is and may always be expensive. Conservative estimates show that BD-25s are about $0.90 more expenive to replicate than HD-30s, and BD-50s are about $4 more expensive. Even after working on BD-50s for years now, yeilds by Sony are still only about 40%. Face it, blu-ray is not now, and may never be able to practically replace DVD due to its difficulties.
OTOH, HD DVD is cheaper, faster and has yeilds approaching 95%. There's also already bout 300 replicators out there already that can make HD DVDs with little downtime-all DVD replcators made in the last few years are made to make DVDs or HD DVDs if desired.
I still believe that both can coexist as large scale niche produts. However, if you are into the "quickening", and feel there can be only one, HD DVD is n a far better position to fight DVD, than BD.
That of course, is just my $0.02. Take it for what its worth.
Jack

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Follow Ups Full Thread

Topic - an interesting commentary. - Jack G 07:04:23 09/01/07 (13)

I'll have to disagree BOTH formats can thrive in competition with DVD. - oscar 09:35:51 09/01/07 (12)

Truth is - DavidLD 09:57:53 09/03/07 (1)

Same here... - JoeLip 11:49:16 09/04/07 (0)

I agree, this is not Xbox-Wii. Either one or none will survive. nt - Duilawyer 10:41:43 09/01/07 (0)

"One has to prevail before mass market acceptance is possible and economies of scale can kick in to bring cost - Jack G 10:35:52 09/01/07 (8)

Correction - Jack G 08:51:25 09/04/07 (6)

Do you guys on AVS really believe that makes one iota of difference? NT - Jazz Inmate 10:47:05 09/04/07 (5)

Paramount seems to (nt) - Jack G 10:55:41 09/04/07 (4)

Warner, Fox, Disney and Sony don't seem to - Jazz Inmate 11:52:26 09/04/07 (3)

Eventually the subsidies will stop - Jack G 12:06:25 09/04/07 (2)

Yup, just as they did with SACD.* - jaiva 17:16:38 09/04/07 (1)

And SACD on classical music is still "thriving". - oscar 17:22:47 09/04/07 (0)

RE: "One has to prevail before mass market acceptance is possible and economies of scale can kick in to bring - Duilawyer 13:22:20 09/01/07 (0)

Follow Ups

"One has to prevail before mass market acceptance is possible and economies of scale can kick in to bring cost - Jack G 10:35:52 09/01/07 (8)

Correction - Jack G 08:51:25 09/04/07 (6)

Do you guys on AVS really believe that makes one iota of difference? NT - Jazz Inmate 10:47:05 09/04/07 (5)

Paramount seems to (nt) - Jack G 10:55:41 09/04/07 (4)

Warner, Fox, Disney and Sony don't seem to - Jazz Inmate 11:52:26 09/04/07 (3)

Eventually the subsidies will stop - Jack G 12:06:25 09/04/07 (2)

Yup, just as they did with SACD.* - jaiva 17:16:38 09/04/07 (1)

And SACD on classical music is still "thriving". - oscar 17:22:47 09/04/07 (0)

RE: "One has to prevail before mass market acceptance is possible and economies of scale can kick in to bring - Duilawyer 13:22:20 09/01/07 (0)

"One has to prevail before mass market acceptance is possible and economies of scale can kick in to bring cost

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