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In Reply to: RE: Hi-def video war: folly of taking sides? posted by townsend on June 23, 2007 at 18:03:24
It also means people are sitting on the sidelines waiting for a "winner" (?) to emerge. The format war is actually slowing down the market for HD video adoption. I almost sat on the sidelines waiting for a winner to emerge and I'm pretty sure all the early adopters are a trivial minority compared to those who refuse to invest in HD movies until there is a clear winner.
Toshiba may have done the public a service by putting out a competing format which is doomed to failure without the studio support Blu-Ray enjoys, but now it's time they withdraw from the game. Blu-ray has the edge in almost every respect (HD-DVDs advantages in hardware pricing/interactive crap won't last through the end of the year) with the most important being Studio support. This is reflected in Blu-Rays current sales advantage (however trivial compared to DVD).
Blockbuster made a decision based on comparative rental volumes (at least officially). This decision has gotten an inordinate amount of press which has given much of the public a perception that HD DVD is doomed. This is a body blow HD-DVD can only survive by convincing a number of studios to defect from Blu-ray exclusivity. But why should they ?
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You just keep repeating the same insignificant things over and over even though they will not determine the success/failure of the HD-DVD format. Why aren't the studios that support BlueRay flooding the market with software?
Why should HD-DVD withdraw, what kind of business sense does that make. If BlueRay withdrew then the studios would support HD-DVD and the outcome would be the same.
"Blockbuster made a decision based on comparative rental volumes (at least officially). This decision has gotten an inordinate amount of press which has given much of the public a perception that HD DVD is doomed."
Really, an inordinate amount of press. I don't know what 'press' you are refering to but I'm pretty well read and watch plenty of news and the only place I have heard about it is here from you. So what are the odds that the public knows anything about it.
Why is it that BD fans always assume that if there was only one format, people would suddenly flock to it like moths to a blu flame? They really flocked to those $1000 players didn't they? The only edge BD has, is in the promises it keeps making. Pricing and interactivity by the end of the year? Are you sure? They already delayed the adoption of BD-video1.1 once, it wouldn't surprise me if they did again. Prices? We'll have to wait and see-I'll beleive it when it happens. Lastly, no matter how many times Studio support is trumpeted, the fact remains, that the support only counts as far as the titles that are actually put out. not promises, not catalogs that won't see the light of day. BD has NO advantage there.
If people are interested in getting into HD, and that's a big if, they are going to look at prices and the movies available. They aren't going to be interested in PROMISES of the future, or irrelevant specs.
The trueth is, that most people really don't care, and quite happy with DVDs.
Jack
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