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In Reply to: RE: do you have some numbers? posted by cfraser on December 07, 2009 at 15:32:23
Consumer products normally follow the S curve, with a very slow start.
Once they take off like this 224%, success is almost sure.
Follow Ups:
Yes. I don't know why so many people seem to still insist it's a failure. Because it hasn't fully replaced DVD in 3 years? Color TV was nowhere in 3 years, took around 10 to even start significantly penetrating really. Big failure. People expect everything these days to happen so fast.
As many experienced pundits predicted, sub-$200 players would do it for BD. As it did for DVD. Also, it doesn't hurt that it's hard to buy a DVDP for $200 if that's what you have to spend, you pretty much have to get a BDP if you want a player of reasonable quality in that price range.
The people who say it's a failure supported HD DVD -- the lesser, inferior format -- and/or think downloads are the Holy Grail.
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