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seeing blue

Blu-ray will win the format war, except it won't be as quickly as they thought.

Keep in mind that Blu-ray is not just Sony. Many people get this wrong because Sony has put so much towards the format. There are over a hundred companies that are part of Blu-ray: Matsushita (Panasonic), Pioneer, LG, Samsung, Lite-On, Sharp, Mitsubishi, etc. NEC, at first solely an HD DVD supporter, is negotiating with Sony to make Blu-ray drives. Toshiba is the only HD DVD exclusive electronics company.

Blu-ray has more capacity now (50GB vs 30GB) and will have even more in the future (200GB is possible, but the potential is really for the computer side of the format rather than the movie side). It also has more bandwidth than HD DVD (54Mb/s vs 36Mb/s). That's really going to come into play in about a year when all of the tools mature along with developers' ability and familiarity with the format. This hasn't been emphasized enough, but HD DVD is going to have some problems in the bandwidth department.

Blu-ray has the exclusive support of numerous movie studios, while HD DVD only has Universal as exclusive.

The PS3 advantage is that it can grow not only as a game machine, but as a Blu-ray player as well.

Just 10 years ago there was a cluster-fuck known as DVD. Look at where it is now. No reason Blu-ray can't be even better.

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