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RE: 2012?

>> Four years is a long ways away. <<

Not really. DVD is a mature technology, BD is a new technology. Four years is a relatively fast time to catch up. I think it took about the same timeframe for CD to supplant LP.

>> I wouldn't be at all surprised if both are gone by then. :) <<

I suppose you could be right, but I don't see what there is to smile about if that's the case. Streaming/downloadable video is worse than DVD quality. Who wants to watch that on their brand new HDTV or listen to compressed audio on their nice HT systems?

>> I'd also think DVD sales are shrinking due to the fact that people have their base set of DVD's that they enjoy most, thus sales are just tapering off. For me, this is exactly what happened with both CD's and DVD's. I barely buy either nowadays as my base set of likeable discs is in my room. <<

Of course. That's what happens when mature formats pass their peak. Studios have been successful in offsetting this by "remastering" and repackaging their biggest sellers every couple of years. But with high def here now, few will want to upgrade their DVD to another DVD. That's where Blu-ray comes in. It has legs and the quality is fantastic.
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Call it, friendo.

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