In Reply to: But The Next Big Thing is already clearly on the horizon, isn't it? posted by Bhasi on August 13, 2009 at 08:51:43:
High def movies are large files so big downloads and slow download times with most connections. Can current networks handle a major increase in such file downloads? How many current networks have the speed to make such downloads easy?
Even if networks in the developed world could handle this sort of traffic, much of the world doesn't have such networks and won't have it for a long time. Sure it will come somewhere first and spread but the net has been around for decades and there are still large parts of the world where the majority of people don't have web access, much less computers.
Physical discs will be around for a while yet and when downloads start to be a viable option there are going to be people asking the question you're now asking about BD. How long after downloads equivalent to BD quality or better are available will it be before physical discs are phased out. DVDs are still being released even though BD is widely available. Hell, LPs are still being released.
Nothing happens overnight and I somehow think that more people aren't going to jump from DVD to downloads without an intervening step than will jump without the intervening step. Sure, the horizon is approaching but I think that approach is slower than you think and what are you going to do in the meantime?
It's your choice. Putting your faith in a fast approach to your horizon Is one option. The other is to assume the horizon is approaching slowly or simply decide to enjoy what is currently available and go to BD. There's always something new coming and at some stage you either decide to go with the newest technology that is currently available or you end up sticking with old technology and wait until a new one arrives that you like. That may mean skipping one generation, or two, or three or whatever.
The choice is yours. I suspect those who have jumped, including me, think it's worth it and those who haven't will include a lot who don't think it's worth it. The only opinion that really matters for you is yours. Whatever you opt to do I suspect you can find enough kindred souls to allow you to count yourself in good company.
David Aiken
This post is made possible by the generous support of people like you and our sponsors:
Follow Ups
- How fast are you travelling towards the horizon? - David Aiken 00:39:04 08/14/09 (0)