The question still remains: how much better will WALL-E perform over all than Get Smart? It's just too early to tell.

Neither of us can answer that one; we can only speculate and contribute informed opinions. The labeling of something as a HIT or a MISS, a blockbuster or a bomb, etc., has many variables. In addition to the costs versus grosses, there is also repeat showing value, international sales figures, prospects for video rental & sales, and whether the film received critical acclaim or dismissal. The last factor isn't crucial because audience appreciation is unpredictable, but critical acclaim can't be ignored in assessing film's longevity and return on investment.

My "formula"[sic] isn't a crystal ball! I never stated unequivocally that I would predict an outcome; all I did was to venture an informed opinion given the facts. My observations are based upon the timing of each film's release in a crowded summer schedule with lots of attractive films competing for the same dollars in the midst of a recession, ...as if the unchartered multiplex 'waters' weren't treacherous enough for the studios.

Still, the bottom line ($$$) is the primary focus of this thread and it's going to take a couple of weeks to see where all the chips finally fall.

May I politely suggest that if you're trying to turn this thread a pissing contest, it will serve no useful purpose, except perhaps your eventual embarrassment.

Cheers,
AuPh

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Follow Ups Full Thread

Topic - Get Smart - DavidLD 05:54:08 06/23/08 (21)

"My hunch is that once word gets around this movie will do pretty well in the next few weeks." - I doubt it. - Audiophilander 12:02:32 06/23/08 (18)

Have you seen what passes for comedy lately? It'll do well. - DWPC 14:08:33 06/24/08 (2)

Maybe as a rental. - Audiophilander 22:52:27 06/25/08 (1)

I'd categorize $100 Mill as a lot more than "doing well" * - DWPC 14:39:56 06/27/08 (0)

gotta disagree. - Analog Scott 13:01:21 06/24/08 (13)

No offense, but $40,000,000 isn't a big box-office opening for a summer release. - Audiophilander 22:25:50 06/25/08 (12)

By this reasoning WALL-E didn't do very well. - sjb 17:32:32 06/29/08 (4)

$63 million to $38 million? That $25 million dollar difference is substantial. - Audiophilander 11:07:09 07/01/08 (3)

But it cost $40+ million more to make. So by your formula it didn't do well. - sjb 18:03:02 07/01/08 (2)

The question still remains: how much better will WALL-E perform over all than Get Smart? It's just too early to tell. - Audiophilander 00:55:16 07/02/08 (1)

I'm really just ribbing you... BUT... - sjb 10:41:49 07/02/08 (0)

RE: No offense, but $40,000,000 isn't a big box-office opening for a summer release. - Analog Scott 19:45:49 06/26/08 (6)

Thru Thursday it's up to $57 million - sjb 17:51:41 06/27/08 (0)

"This movie did half it's prodction cost on the first weekend." - Including advertising expenses? - Audiophilander 22:25:40 06/26/08 (4)

RE: "This movie did half it's prodction cost on the first weekend." - Including advertising expenses? - Analog Scott 09:57:24 06/28/08 (3)

"My estimates did include all costs and revenue sharing." - Then I think your estimates may be a bit shy, ... - Audiophilander 02:00:51 06/29/08 (2)

It would appear the Get Smart is exceeding my predictions - Analog Scott 11:48:54 07/01/08 (1)

Good! Come back in a couple of weeks and we'll compare notes. (nt) - Audiophilander 00:56:21 07/02/08 (0)

You are correct... - mkuller 14:25:49 06/23/08 (0)

I had no idea Brooks was involved, you sold me nt - padreken 09:42:28 06/23/08 (0)

I too was pleasantly surprised - Analog Scott 09:31:24 06/23/08 (0)

Follow Ups

The question still remains: how much better will WALL-E perform over all than Get Smart? It's just too early to tell. - Audiophilander 00:55:16 07/02/08 (1)

I'm really just ribbing you... BUT... - sjb 10:41:49 07/02/08 (0)

The question still remains: how much better will WALL-E perform over all than Get Smart? It's just too early to tell.

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